Creation of New Districts a vehicle for development !!??

A comparative assessment of creation of Districts reveals that most of them were carved out of then-existing Districts, however, the purpose and criteria is not known in black and white. Therefore, the following assessment based on below fundamentals:

  1. Districts have been clubbed to the present Divisions they are part of. Merged Districts of FATA have not been taken being recent happening, and lack of data.
  2. History of creation of each District has been given, some with cited notifications, others from various websites. This does include anomalies such as Hazara District which has also been taken as Abbottabad District simply to put in perspective the fact that it was one District which then broke off into 3 in 1976
  3. Human Development Index, lag in infrastructure and Poverty Score to compare whether carving out a new District was to improve HDI and Poverty status detaching it from areas in previous district for presumably more input – and did that happen
  4. Logically population and area to indicate was that a criteria, and if so, even on that criteria can creation of most Districts be justified
  5. Graphic charts to put the data in perspective more pleasing to the eye
  6. Actual expenditure and addition to the yearly expenditure when new Districts are created, even elevation of Tehsils towards that. Would this be from their share in Provincial Finance Commission award as administrative expenditure and if so, would it not reduce spending towards poverty alleviation, human and infrastructure development.
  7. For assessment purpose Districts created in 1990s were taken – they are neither too ‘ancient’ nor too latest and have had 20 plus years in most cases to overcome the perceived disadvantages they faced being part of other Districts.
  8. As don’t have data on taxation avenues, so couldn’t assess that – but it should also be part of criteria towards new Districts as without own resource generation, the model will not succeed

NOTE: Purpose is to raise honest questions, not to give proposals.

District Created on Human Development Index [1] [Rank in Pakistan out of 114] Area [sq km] [2] Population [3] Lag in Infrastructure

Intra-ratio out of [20] [4]

Poverty PMT 32.49 [5]

[%age of total Households]

Hazara Division          
Abbottabad Pre-1947 [called Hazara District till 1 Oct, 1976] 13 1967 1,332,912 0.57 45.59 %
Mansehra 1 Oct, 1976 [6] [Carved out of Abbottabad/Hazara District] 34 4579 1,556,460 0.83 59.79 % [includes Tor Ghar too]
Kohistan 1 Oct 1976

Bifurcated into Kohistan & Lower Kohistan Districts on 15 Jan, 2014 [7]

 

Kolai-Palas Kohistan District carved out of Lower Kohistan  on 10 August, 2017 [8]

108 7492 784,711

 

Upper Kohistan 306,337

Lower Kohistan 202,933

Kolai Palas 275,003

 

1.51 72.92 %
Haripur 1991 [Carved out of Abbottabad] 18 1725 1,003,031 0.78 53.55 %
Batagram 1 July, 1993 [9] [Carved out of Mansehra] 70 1301 476,612 0.65 83.31 %
Tor Ghar 15 February, 2011 [10] [Carved out of Mansehra] 105 497 171,395 0.83
Bannu Division          
Bannu Pre-1947 55 1227 1,167,892 0.45 70.21 %
Lakki Marwat 1 July, 1992 [11] [Carved out of Bannu] 59 3164 876,182 0.96 77.38 %
DI Khan Division          
DI Khan Pre-1947 71 7326 1,627,132 0.91 52.22 %
Tank 1992 [Carved out of DI Khan] 76 1679 391,885 1.23 81.59 %
Kohat Division          
Kohat Pre-1947 45 2545 993,874 0.77 69.06 %
Karak 1982 [Carved out of Kohat] 54 3372 706,299 1.37 80.87 %
Hangu 1 July, [12] 1996 [Carved out of Kohat] 57 1097 518,798 0.64 71.66 %
Mardan Division          
Mardan Pre-1947 29 1632 2,373,061 0.23 78.45 %
Swabi 1 July, 1988 [13] 44 1543 1,624,616 0.47 78.69 %
Malakand Division          
Swat 1969 [Princely state before that so pre-1947] 52 5337 2,309,570 0.74 80.04 %
Dir 1970 [Princely State before that so pre-1947]

Converted from Dir into 2 x Districts: Lower & Upper Dir effective 13 August, 1996 [14]

Dir Lower 56

Dir Upper 92

Dir Lower 1583

Dir Upper 3699

 

 

Dir Lower 1,435,917

Dir Upper 946,421

Dir Lower 0.70

Dir Upper 1.05

 

Dir Lower 71.16 %

Dir Upper 80.35 %

Chitral 1969 [Princely State before that so pre-1947]

 

Bifurcated into Lower and Upper Chitral on 20 November, 2018 [15]

35 [16] 14850

Upper Chitral: Lower Chitral 4:1 [17]

447,362

Upper Chitral 169,240

Lower Chitral 278,122

1.23 75.54 %
Malakand 1970 32 952 720,295 0.44 71.33 %
Buner 1 Jan, 1991 [18] [Carved out of Swat] 66 1865 897,319 1.02 81.81 %
Shangla 1 July, 1995 [19] [Carved out of Swat] 82 1586 757,810 1.34 85.59 %
Peshawar Division          
Peshawar Pre-1947 14 1257 4,269,079 0.37 68.18 %
Nowshera 1 July, 1990 [20] [Carved out of Peshawar] 31 1748 1,518,540 0.51 67.39 %
Charsadda 1998 [Carved out of Peshawar] 36 996 1,616,198 0.41 77.35 %

Graph 1: Creation of Districts indicates the time-line from year 1947 till 2018, and indicates years in which Districts were created. It is evident that 1990s saw a surge in creation of Districts in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.

 

Graph 2 is Districts viz Area in square kilometers. Our of the districts being assessed, only Lakki is in area larger than the now-remaining District it was carved out. All others including Haripur from Abbottabad, Batagram from Mansehra, Tank from DI Khan, Hangu from Kohat, Buner and Shangla from Swat and Charsadda from Peshawar are still less in area from the ‘remaining parent District’ they left behind.

 

Graph 3 is Districts viz Population. All Districts being assessed have lesser population from their parent Districts, Haripur from Abbottabad, Batagram from Mansehra, Lakki from Bannu, Tank from DI Khan, Hangu from Kohat, Buner and Shangla from Swat, Charsadda from Peshawar.

 

Graph 4 indicates comparison of lag in infrastructure as part of the indicator for Provincial Finance Commission award. except for Hangu and Batagram, all other districts still show distinct lag in infrastructure from the parent District. Haripur from Abbottabad, Lakki from Bannu, Tank from DI Khan, Hangu from Kohat, Buner and Shangla from Swat and Charsadda from Peshawar. It can be presumed that their lag may have reduced, but if the purpose of their creation was investment in betterment, while 20 plus years have gone, the investment and purpose has actually not worked.

 

Graph 5 is the poverty score of Districts. It shows that the assessed Districts’ population is poorer that the Districts they bifurcated from. Haripur from Abbottabad, Batagram from Mansehra, Lakki from Bannu, Hangu from Kohat, Buner and Shangla from Swat and Charsadda from Peshawar. Again if the purpose was bifurcation of Tehsils from existing Districts and their elevation to distinct and separate District, arguably poverty alleviation is not a result which came out of it.

In Human Resource Index too given in first table above, Abbottabad is at 13th in Pakistan while Haripur is 18th, Mansehra is 34th while Batagram is 70th. Bannu is at serial 55 while Lakki Marwat trails it at 59. DI Khan is 71st while Tank 76th, Kohat is 45th while Hangu is 57th, Swat is at 52 while Buner and Shangla are at 66 & 82 respectively. Similarly Peshawar is at 14th while Charsadda trails at distant 36th.

Financial Implications – Human Resource creation [21]

Two types of financial implications arise out of creation of a new District, the one-time and recurrent. Creation of posts is a recurrent and permanent liability. Following table shows that 3301 posts need to be created to actualize a District with an annual recurring cost of Rs 1733 Million. P&D Department has estimated the one time cost of “Government buildings” required alone as around Rs 4 Billion.

Department Posts to be created (Number) Financial Implications (PKR in Millions)
Revenue & Estate

54

51.533

Administration of Justice

50

35.500

Local Government, Election & Rural Development (Including VCs/NCs

345

170.000

District Account Office

11

9.467

District Education Offices [Male, Female]

26

10.000

District Health Office

12

6.245

District Food Controller

20

7.081

District Police Offices / Investigation offices

1478

889.323

Environment / Forestry

75

37.000

Wildlife

45

23.000

Industries including Consumer Protection / Industrial Departments etc

210

153.559

Mines & Minerals Development

133

53.318

Labour

77

5.837

Zakat & Ushr

14

4.311

Relief (Civil Defence)

12

3.209

Rescue 1122

135

46.174

District Agriculture Office

127

60.569

Animal Husbandry

159

44.516

Communication & Works

28

12.349

District Public Health Engineering

32

13.206

Population Welfare

16

5.205

District Excise & Taxation

74

24.520

Prisons

121

40.747

Istrict Public Prosecution

35

22.997

District Social Welfare

12

4.164

Total

3301 1733.83

 

Conclusion

The selected Districts’ data reveals that they are still poorer in status in HDI, Lag in Infrastructure as well as poverty from the Districts they were carved out of or to put it in other words, the Tehsils upgraded to Districts with purpose of improving the status of their inhabitants were not able to do so.

One of the perceived reasons could be that while they lacked required funds and financial inputs – but arguably when those inputs came, the around 4 Billion plus one time and the 1 Billion plus recurring cost of their ‘status’ of District, when allocated out of their share, actually regressed their ability to spend on poverty alleviation, HDI improvement and infrastructure. They may have gotten government buildings as infrastructure but the roads, dams etc, the infrastructure of public good, may not have gotten enough funds for any worthwhile improvement.

If intent was to provide access to administrative offices, it probably would have been worthwhile to delegate authority to officers in the Tehsil instead of declaring such areas as Districts. Travelling for Domicile being made could have been reduced by bestowing the Assistant Commissioner the powers of the Deputy Commissioner. Similarly SDOs could be delegated powers of XENs & so on, if the purpose was to provide access nearer to their homes for the inhabitants, instead of creating a ful-fledged District.

A rethink of policy and criteria is probably justified for future creation of Districts as the expenditure of creation itself probably is the most pertinent blocker of its subsequent development and improvement in status. Furthermore, if within Districts, Tehsils are classified as under-developed, poorer etc, possibility of taking down the Provincial Finance Commission award to Tehsils can be also considered. After all Tehsils are integral part of the Local Governance system.

[FINAL WORD .. AS MORE DATA IS RECEIVED, THIS WRITE UP WILL BE UPDATED AND IMPROVED]

Information for reference purposes includes the Provincial Finance Commission award formula for distribution of resources among Districts. This formula is 60% weightage for population, 20% for backwardness and 20% for lag in infrastructure. Total weightage calculated gives out the share of money. The previous and latest formula on share distribution is given below.

DISTRICT WISE HOUSEHOLDS TO BE COVERED ON 32.49 PMT SCORE

Districts Total Number Of Households PMT 24.51 PMT 32.49 Percentage (%) 
Mardan 230,502 138,862 180,820 78.45
Malakand 82,495 44,740 58,840 71.33
Kohat 113,461 60,258 78,359 69.06
Chitral 45,228 24,961 34,163 75.54
Swabi 171,200 105,839 134,718 78.69
Nowshera 169,049 71,586 113,916 67.39
Lakki Marwat 81,174 50,374 62,812 77.38
Shangla 101,700 71,820 87,042 85.59
Upper Dir 92,435 64,236 74,275 80.35
Tank 49,936 33,527 40,743 81.59
Buner 99,945 63,639 81,768 81.81
Swat 286,213 176,789 229,082 80.04
Kohistan 63,233 35,033 46,108 72.92
Charsadda 198,670 112,773 153,672 77.35
Lower Dir 152,336 84,978 108,397 71.16
Battagram 62,362 34,474 51,954 83.31
Karak 51,253 26,981 41,448 80.87
Bannu 115,377 59,346 81,008 70.21
Hangu 65,841 32,706 47,179 71.66
Peshawar 390,800 183,593 266,481 68.19
Mansehra & Torghar 282,712 119,726 169,042 59.79
D.I. Khan 314,281 123,819 164,119 52.22
Haripur 127,834 33,637 68,457 53.55
Abbottabad 177,033 38,233 80,711 45.59
Total 3,525,070 1,791,930 2,455,114 69.65

 

[1] Pakistan National Human Development Report 2017 http://hdr.undp.org/sites/default/files/reports/2847/pk-nhdr.pdf

[2] Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Bureau of Statistics

[3] 2017 Census http://www.pbs.gov.pk/sites/default/files/PAKISTAN%20TEHSIL%20WISE%20FOR%20WEB%20CENSUS_2017.pdf

[4] Based on calculations of “lag in Infrastructure” data from Provincial Finance Commission Award for Districts projected for Financial Year 2017-18. Tor Ghar data not available, so Mansehra weightage taken for it too.

[5] Households with $2 or less income, as per the poverty alleviation survey. Newer created districts are not bifurcated so are part of the old one. Mansehra includes Torghar.

[6] Government of NWFP Revenue Department Notification No. 18681 dated 20 Sep, 1976 first changing status of Hazara District of Peshawar Division to Hazara Division, then creating Districts of Abbottabad, Mansehra & Kohistan.

[7] Government of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Board of Revenue Notification No. Rev:VII Kohistan Lower/1075 dated 15 Jan, 2014

[8] Government of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Board of Revenue Notification No. Rev:VI/Creation of New Distt/Kolai Palas/Kohistan/16361 dated 10 Aug, 2017

[9] Government of NWFP Revenue Department Notification No 12207/Rev-VI Dated 20 June, 1993

[10] Government of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Board of Revenue Notification No Rev:VI/Tor Ghar 2937 dated 15 Feb 2011 issued pursuant to SRO[1]/2011 dated 10 Feb. 2011 issued under signature of President of Pakistan ceasing its status as Tribal area

[11] Government of NWFP Revenue Department Notification No. 14498/Rev-VI dated 30 June, 1992

[12] Government of NWFP Revenue Department Notification No. 11014/Rev:VI dated 30 June, 1996

[13] Government of NWFP Revenue Department Notification No. 8348/REV:VI dated 30 June, 1988

[14][14] Government of NWFP Revenue Department Notification No. 23629/Rev:VI/8/96 dated 13 Aug, 1996

[15] Government of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Board of Revenue Notification No. Rev:VI/Creation of new District Upper Chitral/37358 dated 20 Nov, 2018

[16] Chitral taken as a whole

[17] KP Board of Revenue shows figures of 10901.84 with area of Upper Chitral as 8542 and Lower Chitral as 2359.84 sq km, hence for graph purpose ratio 4:1 is taken for Upper & Lower Chitral

[18] Government of NWFP Revenue Department Notification No 23501/Rev-VI dated 10 Dec, 1990

[19] Government of NWFP Revenue Department Notification No. 21060/Rev:VI dated 11 July, 1995 [named Shanglapar]

[20] Government of NWFP Revenue Department Notification No. 9191/Rev:VI dated 23 May, 1990

[21] Source: Finance Department Khyber Pakhtunkhwa